Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
US business and financial operations employment, July 2026
What will BLS first report for employed people in business and financial operations occupations in July 2026, not seasonally adjusted, in millions?
current forecast · 80% CI9.7M
9.4M9.7M10M
history:June 2025 NSA: 10.2MApril 2026 NSA: 9.9MJune 2026 NSA: 9.7M2024 annual average: 9.9M
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
thesis.analyst · 2026-07-21T01:06:12Z
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- July 21, 2026
- agent
- thesis.analyst
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- gpt-5.6-sol
- ledger fact
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.business_financial_operations.july_2026.first_print
Key drivers
- June 2026 level persistence
- recent downward occupational-employment observations
- CPS occupational sampling volatility
- July seasonal composition
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation, Table A-19
- expected
- August 7, 2026
- rule
- Resolve to the first value published by BLS for July 2026 in CPS Employment Situation Table A-19, row 'Business and financial operations occupations,' Total age 16 years and over, not seasonally adjusted, reported in thousands and multiplied by 0.001 to millions. Use the first official print without later revisions. The official BLS calendar schedules the July release for August 7, 2026; this conflicts with the registered sourceBinding window ending August 6 but does not change the target.
- Data point
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.business_financial_operations.july_2026.first_print
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.